عنوان مقاله [English]
Regarding to the policy of country’s motion towards development, every year a high percentage of annual budget of government is dedicated to civil projects. Implementation of these projects requires spending time, cost and other resources. Lack of proper contract arrangement and unfair distribution of responsibilities and authorities have led to many challenges among projects’ employers and contractors. On one hand, civil projects confront with threats and opportunities regarding the key elements of project like time, cost and quality in order to achieve the specified goals. The roots of most threats ad chances can be find in a set of uncertainty conditions that regarding to varying and unstable conditions of country, they have great effect on the process of project execution, and the probable conditions shall be recognized and predicted.
Types of civil project contracts were conducted by multi-indicator decision-making techniques and approach of scenario planning. At first, types of contracts being able to conclude in organization were recognized. Then, the options’ rating indicators was specified by studying the organization’s strategy document. Moreover, to determine the uncertainty, by reviewing the literature we identified the effective factors on indicators and they were classified into under control and out of control factors. Uncertainties were specified through out of control factors, and scenarios were developed. Ultimately, by Max-Min method, strategic options were rated according to 4factor method, E.P.C, design and construction method, P.E, 3 factorial method and turning key method, respectively.